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Gold Jumps To Highest Level In More Than A Year

d jumps to highest level in more than a year as Russia invades Ukraine
  • Gold Prices Soar As Russia Invades Ukraine
  • Investors Turning to Gold as a Safe Haven
  • Analysts Predict Record Prices to Continue Rising

Russia Attacks Ukraine

Russian forces attacked Ukraine on Thursday. The assault was the biggest attack by one state against another in Europe since World War Two. Putin declared what he called a “special military operation” two days after sending troops into Ukraine’s eastern breakaway regions. The latest news follows months of Russian military buildup near Ukraine’s borders with troop numbers counting as many as 150,000.

Investors seeking a safe store of value flocked to gold. The equities markets plummeted into the red as investors left. The Dow dropped 600 points after the attack began. There was a broad sell-off with investors selling shares en masse. The invasion comes as global equity markets were already reeling because of decades-high inflation stemming from the pandemic.1

Gold jumped more than 3% higher and was trading above $1,950 per ounce. It has risen about 8% in February alone. Gold is at its highest price since late 2020.

Rapidly rising U.S. gold futures show that the demand for gold will continue to increase. The Cboe Volatility index, a gauge of Wall Street fear, spiked to above the 37 level on Thursday. There is a history of gold prices increasing as the Volatility Index increases.2

d jumps to highest level in more than a year as Russia invades Ukraine

Leaders called for devastating sanctions on Russia. They want to cut them off from SWIFT. SWIFT is the system that links Russian banks to the global financial system. Sanctions will isolate Russia’s gold supply. Russia is the world’s third-largest producer of gold. They have been building up their reserves for years.

Sanctions will drive the price gold up even more. “As long as the breadth and length of the conflict remains uncertain, I don’t see investors wanting to sell any of these Russia sensitive metals or energy,” said Tai Wong, an independent metals trader in New York.3

If Russia invades Ukraine beyond the separatist regions there will be a shock to the equity and oil markets. The fallout could have sizeable negative impact on the global economy. Fuel prices will increase. Which, in turn, increases inflation on everything else. As inflation rises, investors will purchase gold to hedge against it. This will push the price of gold up even higher.

Jeffrey Halley is a senior market analyst at OANDA. He said, “Prices could continue rallying towards resistance at $1,960 an ounce and test $2,000 in the next few sessions. Gold is a haven asset along with the U.S. dollar and this is its day. We could inevitably see new all time highs in gold.”

Current events will be forcing gold prices up for all the above reasons. The time to protect your portfolio with precious metals is now. Contact American Hartford Gold to learn how.

Notes
1. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/24/russia-invades-ukraine-gold-jumps-to-highest-in-more-than-a-year.html
2. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2685826
3. https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/gold-rises-escalating-ukraine-crisis-spurs-safe-haven-bids-2022-02-24/

Russia-Ukraine Crisis Proves Gold to be a Safe Haven

Russia-Ukraine Crisis Proves Gold to be a Safe Haven
  • The Russia-Ukraine conflict increased precious metal prices
  • Precious metal prove themselves to be safe havens

The effect of Russian-Ukraine tensions

Recent tensions between Russia and Ukraine show how gold is a proven safe haven. Historically, gold prices rise as tensions rise. The conflict pushed it towards $1,900 an ounce. Goldman Sachs said bullion levels could go well above $2,000 per ounce even if the U.S. doesn’t directly intervene in Ukraine.

There are several reasons for this. Conflict causes printed money to lose stability. Central banks around the world are shoring up their gold reserves because they prefer its inherent value. Almost 18% of all the gold mined throughout history is held by governments or central banks.1

This conflict comes at a time of dwindling stockpiles of raw materials. Russia is a main exporter of those raw materials. Prices go up because the limited supply is being threatened.

Stock earnings and profits are likely to fall due to war. This can unravel the quadrillion dollar derivatives market2. The effects of that would be catastrophic. Legendary investor Warren Buffett called derivatives ‘weapons of mass destruction’ 3.

Even after dropping slightly as Russia started a partial pullback of its troops, gold was still at record prices. The conflict could have engulfed Europe and hurt global supply chains. But it was only a short distraction from inflation fears and rising interest rates.

Out of control inflation is a main driver of rising gold prices. The Fed raising rates to stop inflation will push the price of gold even higher. CFRA analyst Sam Stoval said “equity markets are more at risk from the fallout from the war on inflation than on a potential invasion of Ukraine.”4

Russia-Ukraine Crisis Proves Gold to be a Safe Haven

Gold is the Safest Haven

Gold and silver are hedges against both inflation and international conflict. The CFA Institute studied precious metals and conflict. Their study showed that geopolitical risks are different from other economic, financial, and political risks. It also showed that precious metals in a portfolio lower the impact of geopolitical risk. Compared to other hedges, only gold and silver perform consistently.5

A dark saying goes, “bad news is good news for gold.” Rising global tensions send investors running from stocks and towards precious metals. International crises are ultimately resolved. However, economic uncertainty remains. Gold is the safe haven asset that will always be in demand. Contact AHG to learn how gold can protect your investment.

Notes:
1. https://theconversation.com/in-gold-we-trust-why-bullion-is-still-a-safe-haven-in-times-of-crisis-144567
2. https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/052715/how-big-derivatives-market.asp
3. https://www.proactiveinvestors.com/companies/news/279589/why-gold-remains-the-safe-haven-asset-of-choice-in-times-of-geopolitical-uncertainty-29589.html
4. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/4-pillars-of-the-ukraine-russia-fear-trade-morning-brief-100901955.html
5. https://www.cfainstitute.org/en/research/cfa-digest/2020/12/dig-v50-n12-1

1.25 oz Silver Rose Crown Guinea

The Guinea is one of the world’s most respected coinages in history carrying with it a reputation of trust and purity. A symbol of Britain’s rising colonial power, the Guinea was recognized and accepted throughout the world for its purity and reliability, treasured by merchants as they traveled the world on East India Company ships.

The Rose Crown Guinea design was introduced by King George II taking its name from the elaborated decorated crowned shield of the Royal Arms design which was commonly compared to an open rose. During his 33-year reign, King George H’s coinage included various Guineas struck with eight different obverses and five different reverses.